Total Forecast
190,336
vs Plan
+813
Risk Level
Medium
WAPE
9.1%
Recommended Actions
Production Volume199,853 unitsForecast + 5% safety buffer
Safety Stock8-12%Higher for risk months
Stockout RiskMar 25 has widest uncertainty (34% range)
Assumptions
- • Based on 24 months historical data
- • Promo patterns assumed similar to past
Risk Analysis
Mar 2534% range
Uncertainty: 9,802 units
Feb 2533% range
Uncertainty: 9,101 units
Apr 2532% range
Uncertainty: 10,375 units